KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actual69° to 70° 41%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
68 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
3,1 mil €
Liquidez
2,4 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
43.0% / 45.0%
Spread
4.7%
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
25 jul 26, 14:0027 jul 26, 8:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
69° to 70°41%
Comparar plataformas· 69° to 70°
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general86% de coincidencia · auto | Alta | 36% | — | 11,4 mil € | 45,9 mil € | hace 12 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | Media | 41% | — | 3,1 mil € | 2,4 mil € | hace 12 minutos |
También disponible en Polymarket
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 26?
4.5%4h
+3.0%36%
+4.5%35%
-2.5%17%
+8 resultados más
89 • Alta calidadSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total14,3 mil €
Volumen 24h11,4 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 26, 2026, is less than 67° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$3.5k25 jul2d de datos26 jul
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 26, 2026, is less than 67° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.