KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actual82° or above 19%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
77 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
16,4 mil €
Liquidez
12,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
19.0% / 20.0%
Spread
5.3%
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
21 jul 26, 14:0023 jul 26, 8:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
82° or above19%
Comparar plataformas· 73° or below
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Alta | 28% | — | 16,4 mil € | 12,5 mil € | hace 10 minutos | |
 PolymarketMás activa86% de coincidencia · auto | Media | 31% | — | 24 mil € | 49,4 mil € | hace 10 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 22?
14.0%7h
+10.5%31%
+11.3%20%
-14.0%20%
+8 resultados más
73 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total26 mil €
Volumen 24h24 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 22, 2026, is less than 74° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$18.7k21 jul2d de datos22 jul
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 22, 2026, is less than 74° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.