KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actual74° to 75° 16%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
77 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
8,2 mil €
Liquidez
5,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
15.0% / 16.0%
Spread
6.7%
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
13 jul 26, 14:0015 jul 26, 8:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
74° to 75°16%
Comparar plataformas· 76° to 77°
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general86% de coincidencia · auto | Alta | 35% | — | 16,4 mil € | 47,6 mil € | hace 17 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | Alta | 26% | — | 8,2 mil € | 5,7 mil € | hace 10 minutos |
También disponible en Polymarket
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 14?
0.9%8h
+5.0%35%
-1.0%28%
+11.5%23%
+8 resultados más
89 • Alta calidadSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total17,8 mil €
Volumen 24h16,4 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 14, 2026, is less than 74° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$9.4k13 jul2d de datos14 jul
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 14, 2026, is less than 74° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.