KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actual80° or below 60%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
88 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
11,5 mil €
Liquidez
9 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
63.0% / 64.0%
Spread
1.6%
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
10 jul 26, 14:0012 jul 26, 4:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
80° or below60%
Comparar plataformas· 80° or below
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Alta | 60% | — | 11,5 mil € | 9 mil € | hace 5 minutos | |
 PolymarketMás activa84% de coincidencia · auto | Media | 40% | — | 28,9 mil € | 45,8 mil € | hace 13 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
Highest temperature in NYC on July 11?
10h
40%
27%
18%
+8 resultados más
73 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total28,8 mil €
Volumen 24h28,9 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 11, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 81°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 11, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 81-82°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$13.1k10 jul2d de datos11 jul
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If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 11, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 81°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 11, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 81-82°, then the market resolves to Yes.