KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualTadej Pogacar 64%-3.0%Líder entre 100 opciones
Calidad del mercado
68 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
329,7 €
Liquidez
2,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
61.0% / 63.0%
Spread
3.3%
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 20 minutos
7 jul 26, 1:009 ago 26, 17:50
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Tadej Pogacar64%
Comparar plataformas· Adam Yates
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 0% | -47pt | 329,7 € | 2,6 mil € | hace 20 minutos | |
 PolymarketMás activa62% de coincidencia · auto | Media | 47% | 0pt | 632,4 € | 7,5 mil € | hace 20 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
Tour De France 2026: Polka Dot Jersey
2.0%19d
-2.0%62%
50%
50%
+110 resultados más
52 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total4,9 mil €
Volumen 24h632,4 €
POLYMARKETReglas
If Liam Slock wins the polka dot jersey at the 2026 Tour de France, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If || Participant || does not start, withdraws mid-race, is disqualified at any point, or fails to officially complete the race for any reason, then the market for that resolves to No.
- The polka dot jersey is awarded to the leader of the mountains classification (often called the 'King of the Mountains').
- It is determined by a points system based on how quickly riders reach the summits of designated, categorized climbs during the race.
- If two or more cyclists are tied at the end of the entire competition, the market will resolve according to the Governing Body's official tie-breaking rules.
- If after all tie-breaks are exhausted they are still tied, then payouts will be as follows: - Yes payout: $1/N, rounded down to the nearest cent (N = number of tied participants) - No payout: $1 minus the Yes payout
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$3768 jul14d de datos21 jul
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If Liam Slock wins the polka dot jersey at the 2026 Tour de France, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If || Participant || does not start, withdraws mid-race, is disqualified at any point, or fails to officially complete the race for any reason, then the market for that resolves to No.
- The polka dot jersey is awarded to the leader of the mountains classification (often called the 'King of the Mountains').
- It is determined by a points system based on how quickly riders reach the summits of designated, categorized climbs during the race.
- If two or more cyclists are tied at the end of the entire competition, the market will resolve according to the Governing Body's official tie-breaking rules.
- If after all tie-breaks are exhausted they are still tied, then payouts will be as follows: - Yes payout: $1/N, rounded down to the nearest cent (N = number of tied participants) - No payout: $1 minus the Yes payout