KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualHike more than 50bps 4%Líder entre 7 opciones
Calidad del mercado
41 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
1,8 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
1.0% / 4.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 minutos
24 jul 26, 21:1511 sept 26, 10:29
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Hike more than 50bps4%
Comparar plataformas· Hike more than 50bps
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general87% de coincidencia · auto | Media | 70% | — | 2 mil € | 35,5 mil € | hace 16 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | Baja | 4% | — | 0 € | 1,8 € | hace 16 minutos |
También disponible en Polymarket
Bank of Russia decision in September?
0.1 pts1m
+0.5pt69.3%
-3.5pt27.7%
+0.1pt3%
71 • Calidad mediaSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total37,2 mil €
Volumen 24h2 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the Bank of Russia takes the action of Cut more than 50bps at September Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$225 jul2d de datos26 jul
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If the Bank of Russia takes the action of Cut more than 50bps at September Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).