KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: Magnitude of at least 5.2 (99%)
Resuelto: 23 oct 2026, 11:15
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 22:15 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Magnitude of at least 5.292%
Magnitude of at least 5.481%
Magnitude of at least 5.666%
Magnitude of at least 5.812%
Magnitude of at least 6.01%
Magnitude of at least 6.226%
Magnitude of at least 6.47%
Magnitude of at least 6.613%
Magnitude of at least 6.810%
Magnitude of at least 7.08%
Magnitude of at least 5.2Ganada
Antes del cierre: 98% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.4Perdida
Antes del cierre: 96% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.6Perdida
Antes del cierre: 90% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.6Perdida
Antes del cierre: 18% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.8Perdida
Antes del cierre: 1% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.4Perdida
Antes del cierre: 4% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.8Perdida
Antes del cierre: 2% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.0Perdida
Antes del cierre: 1% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.2Perdida
Antes del cierre: 1% ·
Magnitude of at least 7.0Perdida
Antes del cierre: 1% ·
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
What will the biggest earthquake be on October 25, 2026?
PolymarketWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWhere will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of October?
PolymarketWhere will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
Kalshi8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
KalshiReglas
If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:the United States Geological Survey
- The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Magnitude of at least 5.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.