KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: Magnitude of at least 5.2 (99%)
Resuelto: 21 oct 2026, 11:15
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 22 oct 2026, 1:20 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Magnitude of at least 5.41%
Magnitude of at least 5.61%
Magnitude of at least 5.81%
Magnitude of at least 6.08%
Magnitude of at least 5.292%
Magnitude of at least 7.03%
Magnitude of at least 6.210%
Magnitude of at least 6.61%
Magnitude of at least 6.413%
Magnitude of at least 6.85%
Magnitude of at least 5.2Ganada
Antes del cierre: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.4Perdida
Antes del cierre: 14% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.2Perdida
Antes del cierre: 7% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.0Perdida
Antes del cierre: 1% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.8Perdida
Antes del cierre: 3% ·
Magnitude of at least 7.0Perdida
Antes del cierre: 1% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.4Perdida
Antes del cierre: 27% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.6Perdida
Antes del cierre: 19% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.8Perdida
Antes del cierre: 20% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.6Perdida
Antes del cierre: 6% ·
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KalshiReglas
If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 21, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:the United States Geological Survey
- The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Magnitude of at least 5.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 21, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 21, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 21, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 21, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 21, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 21, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 21, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 21, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 21, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 21, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.