Este mercado se resolvió: Conservative (99%)
Resuelto: 19 jun 2026, 3:30
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Probabilidad implícita actualConservative 93.4%+81.0ptLíder entre 7 opciones
Calidad del mercado
45 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
2,7 mil €
Liquidez
67,2 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 38 días
Desactualizado26 may 26, 21:0018 jun 27, 14:00
Tendencias
93.4%
0.9%
1.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· Conservative
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h
También disponible en Smarkets
Aberdeen South By-Election - Winner
Cerrados
20.4%
0.2%
7 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total0 €
Volumen 24h0 €
SMARKETS
También disponible en Polymarket
2026 Aberdeen South By-Election Winner
85.5 ptsCerrados
Resuelto
Douglas Lumsden (100%)
+85.5pt100%
-0.3pt0%
-85.0pt0%
+19 resultados más
49 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoBaja liquidez
Volumen total27,6 mil €
Volumen 24h6,4 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If Labour wins the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Mercados Relacionados
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
393,8 mil €Gavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
318,6 mil €Tulsi Gabbard: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
181,6 mil €Jay Collins: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
135,1 mil €Nicolás Maduro: 82%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Michigan Republican Governor nominee?
49,7 mil €Perry Johnson: 8%KALSHI
KALSHI
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
33,2 mil €Flávio Bolsonaro: 77%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Ripple’s other ledger: What $48 million in politics buysCrypto News
Polymarket Account in Farage Backer's Name Took $9M in Crypto From Unknown Sources: FTDecrypt
Polymarket odds lift Lula to 60.5% in Brazil race as Russia sanctions vote nearsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds jump: US-Iran invasion risk hits 30.5% after tariff newsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.NewsReglas
If Labour wins the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.