Current implied probability
Michael Mizrachi 100%+50.0%Leader of 31 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$77.9K
Liquidity
$33.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
95.1% / 98.2%
Spread
3.3%
Moderate spread7d Change
+46.6%
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Chris Moneymaker97%
Volume trend
$77.9kJul 212d of dataJul 22
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This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player finishes the 2026 World Series of Poker Main Event, Event #82, held July 2–13, 2026, with the final table played August 3–5, 2026 in a paid finishing position i.e., is awarded a payout per the official tournament payout structure.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
- If the listed player does not enter or play the 2026 WSOP Main Event, this market will resolve "No." Any case in which it cannot be clearly established that the listed player finished in a paid position will resolve "No."
- If the 2026 WSOP Main Event is cancelled, or is not completed such that final paid finishing positions are not determined by August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (two weeks after the scheduled conclusion of the final table on August 5, 2026), this market will resolve to "50-50."
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Series of Poker (https://www.wsop.com).
- A consensus of credible reporting (e.g., the Hendon Mob poker database at https://pokerdb.thehendonmob.com) may also be used.