PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 40%+0.0%
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$486.4
Liquidity
$200.7
Low liquidityBid / Ask
31.0% / 48.0%
Spread
54.8%
Wide spread7d Change
+7.0%
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jun 7, 26, 4:06 PMJul 20, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes40%
Also available on Limitless
Messi to Score 2+ penalties at 2026 World Cup
16d
50%
50%
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$92.2
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores two or more penalty kicks during the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count.
- Penalty shootout goals do not count.
- A penalty must be scored to count toward the total; missed or saved penalties do not count.
- If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores two or more penalty kicks during the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count.
- Penalty shootout goals do not count.
- A penalty must be scored to count toward the total; missed or saved penalties do not count.
- If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”.