PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Semifinals
Resolved: Jul 14, 2026, 11:08 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 14, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probability
Semifinals 100%+59.5ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$20K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+75.5 pts
Market data
Updated 48 days ago
StaleJun 5, 26, 10:53 PMJul 19, 26, 7:00 PM
Probability Timeline
320%
160%
Final22%
Other0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which France is eliminated.
- If France wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
- If France is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by France based on the best available official information.
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
