PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeThis market resolved: 32 (100%)
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probability32 100%+37.5%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$10.4K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1%
Tight spread7d Change
+88.5%
Market data
Updated 2 days ago
StaleJun 7, 26, 4:53 PMJul 19, 26, 7:00 PM
Probability Timeline
3263%
1627%
Quarterfinals7%
Other0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Also available on Kalshi
Ecuador: Stage of Elimination
39.0%Closed
Resolved
Round of 32 (99%)
+39.0%99%
-29.0%1%
-5.0%2%
+4 more outcomes
72 • Medium qualityTight spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$119.8K
24h Vol$17.8K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Ecuador is eliminated.
- If Ecuador wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
- If Ecuador is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Ecuador based on the best available official information.
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Ecuador is eliminated.
- If Ecuador wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
- If Ecuador is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Ecuador based on the best available official information.
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.