Current implied probability
No 69.3%
Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.2K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
11.0% / 50.0%
Spread
39.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
-9.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 6:31 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gabriel "FalleN" Toledo wins an S-Tier Counter-Strike event between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An S-Tier event means a Counter-Strike tournament classified as S-Tier by the Liquipedia Counter-Strike wiki (https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/S-Tier_Tournaments) at the time the tournament concludes.
- A later change to a tournament's Liquipedia tier classification will not affect this market.
- Winning means being a member of the winning team's lineup at that event and having played in at least one map for that team during the event.
- Appearances in a non-playing role, for example as a coach or an unused substitute, will not qualify.
Open markets
Sports
KALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
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POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $27.9M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Total Vol
- $18.1K
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28M
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Total Vol
- $2.5M
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- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will FalleN Win an S-Tier Event in 2026??
- Polymarket prices No at 69% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will FalleN Win an S-Tier Event in 2026? resolve?
- Will FalleN Win an S-Tier Event in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will FalleN Win an S-Tier Event in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gabriel "FalleN" Toledo wins an S-Tier Counter-Strike event between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.