Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Apr 1, 2026, 12:32 PM
Provider-verified resolution
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Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 154 days ago
StaleMar 10, 26, 3:25 AMMar 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
- For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
- Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
- Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of March 31, 2026.
- When does Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31? resolve?
- Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31? is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2026.
- How is Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".