Current implied probability
Alcaraz 77.2%+1.0pt
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$8.8
Liquidity
$5.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
75.0% / 80.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
2
7d Change
+15.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jan 2, 26, 8:30 PM UTCSep 13, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Carlos Alcaraz win at least 2 Grand Slams in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Jannik Sinner OR Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?
Manifold MarketsHow many grand slams will Carlos Alcaraz win before he retires?
Manifold MarketsUS Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
PolymarketShelton vs Alcaraz
KalshiBen Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz: Exact Match Score
KalshiRules
This is a market to predict whether Carlos Alcaraz or Jannik Sinner wins more Grand Slam championships in 2026.
- If Carlos Alcaraz wins more Grand Slams in 2026 than Jannik Sinner, this market will resolve to “Alcaraz”.
- If Jannik Sinner wins more Grand Slams in 2026 than Carlos Alcaraz, this market will resolve to “Sinner”.
- If Alcaraz and Sinner win the same amount of Grand Slams in 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Only victories in Men’s Singles Grand Slam tournaments will be considered for this market’s resolution.
- The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026??
- Polymarket prices Alcaraz at 77% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026? resolve?
- Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 13, 2026.
- How is Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This is a market to predict whether Carlos Alcaraz or Jannik Sinner wins more Grand Slam championships in 2026.