PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Miami, FL 83%Leader of 15 outcomes
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$362.9
Liquidity
$403.1
Low liquiditySpread
48.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 4, 26, 11:09 AMSep 6, 26, 4:00 AM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records measurable precipitation on September 5, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
- A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
- The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
- The observation period is the NWS climate day for each station: midnight to midnight local standard time.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Washington, DC is 39%. Quotes span about 11 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference Washington, DC 39% · 2 venues · 11 pt venue spread
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 4, 2026?
- 77° to 78°+37.0pt95.2%
- 79° or above-28.0pt1%
- 75° to 76°-13.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $314.3K
- 24h Vol
- $281.3K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 4, 2026?
- 93° to 94°+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° or below-3.0pt1%
- 91° to 92°-18.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic-1.5pt56.4%
- SpaceX+3.0pt41.6%
- OpenAI-0.1pt2%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 4, 2026?
- 95° to 96°+69.0pt95.2%
- 92° or below-30.0pt1%
- 97° to 98°-19.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 5?
- 25°C+38.0pt74%
- 26°C-9.5pt22%
- 27°C-10.0pt3%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 5?
- 32°C+35.5pt55.7%
- 31°C+2.5pt43.3%
- 33°C-3.6pt1%
+8 more outcomes
- Where will it rain on Sep 5, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 77 F on September 4, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 5, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 5?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 4, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 5?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 4, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 4, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 5?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 5?
- Highest temperature in Oklahoma City on Sep 4, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Where will it rain on September 5??
- Polymarket prices Miami, FL at 83% as of September 5, 2026.
- When does Where will it rain on September 5? resolve?
- Where will it rain on September 5? is scheduled to resolve on September 6, 2026.
- How is Where will it rain on September 5? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records measurable precipitation on September 5, 2026.
- Where else is Where will it rain on September 5? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.