PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Oct 8, 2026, 10:12 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
10 or more states No observed price
10 or more states No observed priceMarket quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$106.4
Low liquiditySpread
96.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 33 minutes ago
Oct 8, 26, 1:00 PM UTCOct 15, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of October 13, 2026
PolymarketPercent of Cattle in drought - week of October 13, 2026
PolymarketPercent of Corn in drought - week of October 13, 2026
PolymarketPercent of Soybeans in drought - week of October 13, 2026
PolymarketWill a robot demonstrate exceptional speed, versatility, and performance in extreme environments by 2040?
Manifold MarketsNew York J: To Break Playoff Drought
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 13, 2026.
- Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+.
- Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
- The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii.
- The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
- Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.