PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Up (100%)
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, 8:17 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Up
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probabilityUp 100%+0.3pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.1K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 26 days ago
StaleJun 29, 26, 12:06 PMJun 30, 26, 8:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Up100%
Down0%
100%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Up
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Limitless
S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
Closed
Resolved
Yes (50%)
50%
50%
15 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$56.8K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESS
Also available on Kalshi
S&P 500 Daily Up/Down
Closed
Resolved
Yes (99%)
99%
1%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$18.9K
24h Vol$18.9K
KALSHIAlso available on Polymarket
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 30?
49.5 ptsClosed
Resolved
Up (100%)
+0.5pt100%
-0.5pt0%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$68.3K
24h Vol$2.5K
POLYMARKETRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on June 30, 2026 is higher than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on June 30, 2026 is lower than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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POLYMARKETActive in these topics
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on June 30, 2026 is higher than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on June 30, 2026 is lower than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.