Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 5?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (68%)
Resolved: Apr 21, 2026, 9:19 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 68%+0.2pt
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 129 days ago
StaleApr 3, 26, 11:33 PMApr 5, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
68%
32%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
- If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 5??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 68% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 5? resolve?
- Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 5? is scheduled to resolve on April 5, 2026.
- How is Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 5? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".