PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Down (100%)
Resolved: Jul 9, 2026, 8:19 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Down
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probabilityDown 100%+0.5pt
Market quality
23 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Market data
Updated 17 days ago
StaleJul 8, 26, 12:00 PMJul 9, 26, 8:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Up0%
Down100%
0%
100%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Down
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LimitlessBest overall73% match · auto | Low | 50% | — | $46.3K | $0 | 18 days ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 100% | — | $1.1K | $0 | 17 days ago |
Also available on Limitless
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Daily
Closed
Resolved
No (50%)
50%
50%
29 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$51.1K
24h Vol$46.3K
LIMITLESSRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on July 9, 2026 is higher than the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on July 9, 2026 is lower than the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$1.1kJul 83d of dataJul 10
Related Markets
BTC price on Jul 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
$792.3K$63,250 or above: 52%
KALSHI
KALSHIBTC price on Jul 31, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
$473.4K$65,000 or above: 25%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 28, 2026?
$98.2K84° or above: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 28?
$1KUp: 31%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above its IPO price on July 31st?
$860.8Yes: 7.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on July 28?
$797.6Up: 53%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Paradigm leads $470M Antares Nuclear funding round for military SMRsCrypto News
Velo Reveals New Orbit Plus Upgrade to Offer Multi-Wallet SupportBlockchain Reporter
Microsoft Says MDASH Beats Claude Mythos and GPT-5.6 Sol in Cybersecurity TestDecrypt
Nvidia, Microsoft and IBM Launch Open Secure AI Alliance to Strengthen AI CybersecurityDecrypt
Kimi-K3 Scales to 2.8T Parameters on AMD Instinct GPUsBlockchain.News
Circle Buys IBM Blockchain Patent Estate—And Becomes America's Biggest HolderDecryptRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on July 9, 2026 is higher than the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on July 9, 2026 is lower than the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.