PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Down (100%)
Resolved: Jul 24, 2026, 8:31 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Down
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 24, 2026, 8:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Down
- Recorded
- Jul 24, 2026, 8:51 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityDown 100%+0.4pt
Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$6.1K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleJul 23, 26, 12:00 PMJul 24, 26, 8:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Up0%
Down100%
0%
100%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Down
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LimitlessBest overall67% match · auto | Low | 97% | — | $588.6K | $0 | 2 days ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 100% | — | $6.1K | $0 | yesterday |
Also available on Limitless
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Daily
Closed
Resolved
No (97.4%)
97.4%
2.6%
34 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$628.9K
24h Vol$588.6K
LIMITLESSRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on July 24, 2026 is higher than the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on July 24, 2026 is lower than the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$6.1kJul 233d of dataJul 25
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on July 24, 2026 is higher than the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on July 24, 2026 is lower than the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.