Current implied probability
Hiroshima Carp 99%+0.4%
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$9.4K
Liquidity
$55.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 99.9%
Spread
0.9%
Tight spread7d Change
+49.5%
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jul 1, 26, 1:02 PMJul 15, 26, 9:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Hiroshima Carp99%
Compare venues· Tokyo Yakult Swallows
Ordered by 24h volume| Venue | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMost active | 59% | +58pt | $9.8K | $2.3K | 6 minutes ago | Open → |
 PolymarketThis page | 1% | 0pt | $9.4K | $55.4K | 12 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp
2d
55%
59%
72 • Medium qualityTight spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$11.1K
24h Vol$9.8K
KALSHIRules
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 8 at 5:00AM ET: If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp".
- If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows".
- If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
- If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 8 at 5:00AM ET: If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp".
- If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows".
- If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
- If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.