PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Down (100%)
Resolved: Jul 28, 2026, 11:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 28, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Down
- Recorded
- Jul 28, 2026, 11:33 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityDown 100%+0.5pt
Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$7K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 26, 2:27 PMJul 28, 26, 9:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Up0%
Down100%
0%
100%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Volume trend
$7.0kJul 282d of dataJul 29
Related Markets
Oil (UKOILSPOT) Up or Down - Daily
$30.1Yes: 50%
LIMITLESS
LIMITLESS
Oil Price (WTI) on Jul 29, 2026?
$253.4KAbove $82.99: 31%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Oil Price (WTI) on Jul 31, 2026?
$66.9KBelow $77.00: 15%KALSHI
KALSHI
Brent crude oil price on July 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
$52.2KAbove $88.99: 32%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the price of Gold exceed $4,050 on July 31, 2026?
$1.6KYes: 53%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXWill the price of Gold exceed $4,150 on July 31, 2026?
$745Yes: 10%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXActive in these topics
Related News
TradFi perpetuals double to $2B on crypto exchanges: CryptoQuant reportCrypto News
Peter Schiff warns $100 oil could unleash a July inflation shockCrypto News
Bitcoin retreats from one-month high as oil tops $85, inflation concerns resurfaceCoindesk
Bitcoin price rejected at $67K as U.S.-Iran war drives oil higherCrypto News
Polymarket odds: Hormuz traffic normal by Jul 31 at 1.15% on $19.1MBlockchain.News
Live markets: Oil bounce and lingering AI selloff pushes bitcoin under $64,000CoindeskRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for the Active Month of Natural Gas (NG) futures on July 28, 2026 is higher than the Close price for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for the Active Month of Natural Gas (NG) futures on July 28, 2026 is lower than the Close price for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless Friday were not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, in which case it would refer to the next most recent prior trading day.
- For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, or if the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, the market will resolve 50-50.