PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityUp 52%
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$350
Liquidity
$2.1K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
49.0% / 54.0%
Spread
10.2%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jul 9, 26, 12:01 PMJul 10, 26, 9:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Up52%
Volume trend
$350Jul 92d of dataJul 10
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for the Active Month of Natural Gas (NG) futures on July 10, 2026 is higher than the Close price for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for the Active Month of Natural Gas (NG) futures on July 10, 2026 is lower than the Close price for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless Friday were not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, in which case it would refer to the next most recent prior trading day.
- For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, or if the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, the market will resolve 50-50.