PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Resolved: Oct 5, 2026, 5:56 AM
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 5, 2026, 8:36 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 53.5 — Over38%
Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 35.5 — Over88%
Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 37.5 — Over82%
Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 52.5 — Over40%
Spread: Patriots (-1.5)23%
Spread: Patriots (-2.5)22%
2H Spread: Patriots (-2.5)31%
2H Spread: Patriots (-3.5)27%
1Q Spread: Patriots (-2.5)30%
1Q Spread: Patriots (-6.5)30%
Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 24.5 — Over97%
Patriots vs. Bills: 2Q O/U 6.5 — Over85%
Patriots vs. Bills: 2Q O/U 14.5 — Over49%
Patriots vs. Bills: 4Q O/U 13.5 — Over51%
Patriots Team Total: O/U 12.5 — Over81%
Bills Team Total: O/U 13.5 — Over83%
Patriots 1H Team Total: O/U 6.5 — Over60%
Patriots 1H Team Total: O/U 10.5 — Over42%
Patriots 1H Team Total: O/U 12.5 — Over30%
Bills 1H Team Total: O/U 10.5 — Over59%
Bills 1H Team Total: O/U 12.5 — Over73%
Bills 1H Team Total: O/U 16.5 — Over44%
Exact Margin: Patriots by 1-650%
Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q50%
Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 59.5 — Over24%
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)15%
Spread: Patriots (-13.5)5%
Spread: Patriots (-21.5)12%
1H Spread: Patriots (-7.5)16%
1H Spread: Patriots (-16.5)27%
1H Spread: Patriots (-17.5)11%
1H Spread: Patriots (-20.5)18%
1H Spread: Patriots (-21.5)27%
1H Spread: Bills (-9.5)33%
1H Spread: Bills (-21.5)18%
2H Spread: Patriots (-6.5)29%
2H Spread: Patriots (-9.5)7%
2H Spread: Patriots (-10.5)24%
2H Spread: Bills (-4.5)41%
2H Spread: Bills (-6.5)0%
2H Spread: Bills (-7.5)36%
1Q Spread: Patriots (-7.5)25%
1Q Spread: Patriots (-10.5)21%
1Q Spread: Bills (-6.5)32%
1Q Spread: Bills (-7.5)18%
1Q Spread: Bills (-10.5)14%
2Q Spread: Patriots (-7.5)14%
2Q Spread: Patriots (-10.5)25%
2Q Spread: Bills (-10.5)26%
3Q Spread: Patriots (-7.5)22%
3Q Spread: Patriots (-10.5)8%
3Q Spread: Bills (-10.5)22%
4Q Spread: Patriots (-7.5)32%
4Q Spread: Patriots (-10.5)11%
4Q Spread: Bills (-10.5)34%
Patriots vs. Bills: 2H O/U 25.5 — Over60%
Bills 1H Team Total: O/U 17.5 — Over26%
Bills 1H Team Total: O/U 19.5 — Over30%
Bills 1H Team Total: O/U 20.5 — Over25%
Exact Margin: Tie10%
Exact Margin: Bills by 1-650%
Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q28%
Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 31.5 — Over92%
Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 34.5 — Over89%
Patriots vs. Bills: 2H O/U 19.5 — Over67%
Patriots Team Total: O/U 26.5 — Over25%
Bills Team Total: O/U 12.5 — Over82%
Bills Team Total: O/U 16.5 — Over77%
Spread: Patriots (-16.5)7%
Spread: Patriots (-17.5)3%
Spread: Patriots (-19.5)7%
Spread: Patriots (-20.5)13%
Spread: Bills (-16.5)24%
1H Spread: Patriots (-1.5)61%
1H Spread: Patriots (-2.5)25%
1H Spread: Patriots (-8.5)32%
1H Spread: Patriots (-14.5)26%
1H Spread: Bills (-5.5)46%
1H Spread: Bills (-16.5)13%
1H Spread: Bills (-17.5)25%
1H Spread: Bills (-20.5)26%
2H Spread: Bills (-3.5)46%
Patriots 1H Team Total: O/U 17.5 — Over16%
1Q Spread: Patriots (-3.5)20%
Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 32.5 — Over93%
Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 44.5 — Over67%
Patriots vs. Bills: 2H O/U 22.5 — Over65%
Patriots vs. Bills: 1Q O/U 5.5 — Over84%
Patriots vs. Bills: 3Q O/U 5.5 — Over85%
Patriots vs. Bills: 4Q O/U 6.5 — Over86%
Patriots Team Total: O/U 16.5 — Over70%
Bills Team Total: O/U 23.5 — Over72%
Patriots 2H Team Total: O/U 6.5 — Over52%
Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 65.5 — Over14%
Spread: Patriots (-8.5)8%
1H Spread: Patriots (-5.5)17%
1H Spread: Patriots (-9.5)10%
1H Spread: Bills (-7.5)36%
2H Spread: Bills (-13.5)16%
2Q Spread: Patriots (-2.5)29%
3Q Spread: Bills (-2.5)48%
Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 58.5 — Over26%
Patriots vs. Bills: 3Q O/U 13.5 — Over35%
Bills Team Total: O/U 26.5 — Over62%
Bills Team Total: O/U 30.5 — Over42%
Patriots 1H Team Total: O/U 20.5 — Over9%
Patriots vs. Bills: 2H O/U 16.5 — Over79%
Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 67.5 — Over11%
2H Spread: Bills (-14.5)50%
2H Spread: Bills (-20.5)38%
1Q Spread: Bills (-3.5)43%
3Q Spread: Bills (-3.5)37%
3Q Spread: Bills (-7.5)13%
4Q Spread: Bills (-4.5)33%
4Q Spread: Bills (-6.5)26%
Patriots vs. Bills: 1Q O/U 10.5 — Over38%
Patriots Team Total: O/U 30.5 — Over11%
Patriots 2H Team Total: O/U 16.5 — Over46%
Patriots 2H Team Total: O/U 17.5 — Over40%
Patriots 2H Team Total: O/U 19.5 — Over40%
Bills 2H Team Total: O/U 13.5 — Over49%
Bills 2H Team Total: O/U 20.5 — Over49%
Safety?39%
2H Spread: Bills (-9.5)0%
Patriots vs. Bills: 1H O/U 16.5 — OverWon
Patriots vs. Bills: 1H O/U 19.5 — OverWon
Patriots vs. Bills: 1H O/U 22.5 — OverWon
Patriots vs. Bills: 1H O/U 25.5 — OverWon
Patriots vs. Bills: 1H O/U 28.5 — OverWon
1H Spread: Bills (-1.5)Won
1H Spread: Bills (-2.5)Won
Patriots vs. Bills: 1Q Moneyline — PatriotsWon
Patriots vs. Bills: 1Q O/U 5.5 — OverWon
Patriots vs. Bills: 1Q O/U 6.5 — OverWon
1Q Spread: Patriots (-2.5)Won
1Q Spread: Patriots (-3.5)Won
1Q Spread: Patriots (-4.5)Won
1Q Spread: Patriots (-6.5)Won
Patriots vs. Bills: 2H Moneyline — PatriotsWon
Patriots vs. Bills: 2H O/U 16.5 — OverWon
Patriots vs. Bills: 2H O/U 19.5 — OverWon
Patriots vs. Bills: 2H O/U 22.5 — OverWon
2H Spread: Patriots (-1.5)Won
2H Spread: Patriots (-2.5)Won
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00PM ET: If Patriots wins, the market will resolve to "Patriots".
- If Bills wins, the market will resolve to "Bills".
- If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
- If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
