This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
Jose Mourinho 100%+1.0pt
Leader of 35 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality
24h Volume
$11.9K
Liquidity
$2
Low liquidity
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread
7d Change
+6.1 pts
Market data
Updated 81 days ago
Stale
Feb 17, 26, 10:43 PMDec 31, 26, 11:55 PM
Probability Timeline
Álvaro Arbeloa50%
coach G0%
coach T0%
coach F0%
coach L0%
coach S0%
coach D0%
coach E0%
coach J0%
coach K0%
coach M0%
coach O0%
coach Q0%
coach H0%
coach I0%
coach N0%
coach P0%
coach R0%
Other0%
Mikel Arteta0%
Mauricio Pochettino0%
Oliver Glasner0%
Julian Nagelsmann0%
Álvaro Arbeloa
50%
Jose Mourinho
+1.0 pts
100%
Andoni Iraola
0%
Thomas Tuchel
0%
Massimiliano Allegri
0%
Mikel Arteta
0%
Oliver Glasner
0%
coach G
0.0 pts
0%
coach T
0.0 pts
0%
Jurgen Klopp
-0.2 pts
0%
coach F
0.0 pts
0%
coach L
0.0 pts
0%
coach S
0.0 pts
0%
Unai Emery
0%
Zinedine Zidane
0%
Mauricio Pochettino
0%
Robert De Zerbi
0%
Didier Deschamps
0%
coach D
0.0 pts
0%
coach E
0.0 pts
0%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid.
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What are the current odds for Next Real Madrid manager??
Polymarket prices Jose Mourinho at 100% as of June 12, 2026.
When does Next Real Madrid manager? resolve?
Next Real Madrid manager? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
How is Next Real Madrid manager? settled?
Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid.