PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Up (100%)
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, 8:16 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Up
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probabilityUp 100%+0.6pt
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 26 days ago
StaleJun 29, 26, 12:04 PMJun 30, 26, 8:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Up100%
Down0%
100%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Up
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 100% | — | $1.3K | $0 | 26 days ago | |
 Limitless88% match · auto | Low | 98% | — | $0 | $0 | 26 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Limitless
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down - Daily
Closed
Resolved
Yes (98.3%)
98.2%
1.8%
15 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$168.3
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on June 30, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on June 30, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on June 30, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on June 30, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.