Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?

2.0% (24h)EquitiesQuarterlyTech7d

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current implied probability

Yes 90%-0.0%

Market quality

63 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$322.6

Liquidity

$1.1K

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

89.0% / 91.0%

Spread

2.3%

Tight spread

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Jul 16, 26, 12:48 AMJul 29, 26, 9:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Yes90%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

As of market creation, Microsoft is estimated to release earnings on July 29, 2026.

The Street consensus estimate for Microsoft's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $4.21 as of market creation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft reports GAAP EPS greater than $4.21 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release.
Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Microsoft releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.

Volume trend

$323

Jul 167d of dataJul 22

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Yes: 50.4%

LIMITLESS

Robinhood funded customers in Q2

$26.1K

Above 28 million: 55%

KALSHI

Ferrari total shipments in Q2

$5.9K

Above 3500: 16%

KALSHI

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EthereumETH$1,919.90-1.12%

SolanaSOL$77.33-1.55%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0725-1.38%

BNBBNB$570.84-1.14%

XRPXRP$1.14-0.63%

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Rules

As of market creation, Microsoft is estimated to release earnings on July 29, 2026.

The Street consensus estimate for Microsoft's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $4.21 as of market creation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft reports GAAP EPS greater than $4.21 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release.
Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Microsoft releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.

Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?

2.0% (24h)EquitiesQuarterlyTech7d

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current implied probability

Yes 90%-0.0%

Market quality

63 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$322.6

Liquidity

$1.1K

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

89.0% / 91.0%

Spread

2.3%

Tight spread

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Jul 16, 26, 12:48 AMJul 29, 26, 9:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Yes90%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

As of market creation, Microsoft is estimated to release earnings on July 29, 2026.

The Street consensus estimate for Microsoft's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $4.21 as of market creation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft reports GAAP EPS greater than $4.21 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release.
Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Microsoft releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.

Volume trend

$323

Jul 167d of dataJul 22

Related Markets

Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?

$3.9K

Yes: 97%

POLYMARKET

Will Booking Holdings (BKNG) beat quarterly earnings?

$711.4

Yes: 89%

POLYMARKET

Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?

$655.3

Yes: 64%

POLYMARKET

Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes: 50.4%

LIMITLESS

Robinhood funded customers in Q2

$26.1K

Above 28 million: 55%

KALSHI

Ferrari total shipments in Q2

$5.9K

Above 3500: 16%

KALSHI

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$65,646.49-1.44%

EthereumETH$1,919.90-1.12%

SolanaSOL$77.33-1.55%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0725-1.38%

BNBBNB$570.84-1.14%

XRPXRP$1.14-0.63%

Related News

Ethereum price charges toward $2,000 as Nasdaq rally revives demandCrypto News

Can Bitcoin price break $67K as oil and tech earnings raise risks?Crypto News

Jack Dorsey's Block Launches Buzz, a Nostr-Based Slack and GitHub Rival for AI AgentsDecrypt

South Korea crypto volumes shrink as retail investors shift to stocksCointelegraph

Uphold launches one-step crypto-to-stock trading for 4,000+ U.S. securitiesCrypto News

Live updates: Bitcoin under $66,000 as traders await Alphabet earnings to gauge AI tradeCoindesk

Rules

As of market creation, Microsoft is estimated to release earnings on July 29, 2026.

The Street consensus estimate for Microsoft's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $4.21 as of market creation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft reports GAAP EPS greater than $4.21 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release.
Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Microsoft releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.