Will Marathon Petroleum (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?

EquitiesQuarterlyTech12d

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current implied probability

Yes 35%

Market quality

36 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$778.2

Liquidity

$344.5

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

33.0% / 36.0%

Spread

9.1%

Wide spread

Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Jul 21, 26, 11:50 PMAug 4, 26, 1:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Yes35%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

As of market creation, Marathon Petroleum is estimated to release earnings on August 4, 2026.

The Street consensus estimate for Marathon Petroleum's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $13.98 as of market creation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marathon Petroleum reports GAAP EPS greater than $13.98 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release.
Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Marathon Petroleum releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.

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Robinhood funded customers in Q2

$28.2K

Above 28 million: 48%

KALSHI

Ferrari total shipments in Q2

$5.9K

Above 3500: 16%

KALSHI

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Rules

As of market creation, Marathon Petroleum is estimated to release earnings on August 4, 2026.

The Street consensus estimate for Marathon Petroleum's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $13.98 as of market creation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marathon Petroleum reports GAAP EPS greater than $13.98 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release.
Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Marathon Petroleum releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.

Will Marathon Petroleum (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?

EquitiesQuarterlyTech12d

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current implied probability

Yes 35%

Market quality

36 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$778.2

Liquidity

$344.5

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

33.0% / 36.0%

Spread

9.1%

Wide spread

Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Jul 21, 26, 11:50 PMAug 4, 26, 1:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Yes35%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

As of market creation, Marathon Petroleum is estimated to release earnings on August 4, 2026.

The Street consensus estimate for Marathon Petroleum's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $13.98 as of market creation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marathon Petroleum reports GAAP EPS greater than $13.98 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release.
Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Marathon Petroleum releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.

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$3.5K

Yes: 97%

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Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?

$2.9K

Yes: 91%

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Will Tyson Foods (TSN) beat quarterly earnings?

$739.2

Yes: 63%

POLYMARKET

Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes: 50.4%

LIMITLESS

Robinhood funded customers in Q2

$28.2K

Above 28 million: 48%

KALSHI

Ferrari total shipments in Q2

$5.9K

Above 3500: 16%

KALSHI

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$66,032.30-0.93%

EthereumETH$1,947.86+1.14%

SolanaSOL$78.45+0.58%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0732-0.04%

BNBBNB$572.58-0.47%

XRPXRP$1.15+0.17%

Related News

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Can Bitcoin price break $67K as oil and tech earnings raise risks?Crypto News

Jack Dorsey's Block Launches Buzz, a Nostr-Based Slack and GitHub Rival for AI AgentsDecrypt

South Korea crypto volumes shrink as retail investors shift to stocksCointelegraph

Uphold launches one-step crypto-to-stock trading for 4,000+ U.S. securitiesCrypto News

Live updates: Bitcoin under $66,000 as traders await Alphabet earnings to gauge AI tradeCoindesk

Rules

As of market creation, Marathon Petroleum is estimated to release earnings on August 4, 2026.

The Street consensus estimate for Marathon Petroleum's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $13.98 as of market creation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marathon Petroleum reports GAAP EPS greater than $13.98 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release.
Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Marathon Petroleum releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.