Current implied probability
New York Yankees 98%-0.1ptLeader of 30 outcomes
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$989.9
Liquidity
$121.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
31.0% / 45.0%
Spread
14.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Apr 3, 26, 4:57 PMSep 28, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
New York Yankees98%
Compare venues· New York Yankees
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 98% | — | $989.9 | $121.3K | 21 minutes ago | |
 Manifold Markets82% match · verified | — | 97% | — | — | — | 21 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
Which teams will make the 2026 MLB postseason?
2mo
97.2%
96.5%
96.2%
+27 more outcomes
Community forecast24 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2026 MLB Playoffs per the rules of the MLB.
- Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
- If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
- Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will not be considered part of the MLB Playoffs.
- If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after October 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the full 12-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by MLB within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$990Jul 227d of dataJul 28
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2026 MLB Playoffs per the rules of the MLB.
- Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
- If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
- Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will not be considered part of the MLB Playoffs.
- If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after October 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the full 12-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by MLB within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.