Current implied probability
Nasim Nuñez 55.3%Leader of 81 outcomes
Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$90
Liquidity
$93.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
67.0% / 68.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+13.0 pts
Market data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Apr 22, 26, 8:17 PMSep 28, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Nasim Nuñez68%
Compare venues· Nasim Nuñez
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall80% match · verified | Medium | 62% | 0pt | $234.9 | $66.9K | 23 minutes ago | Open → |
 PolymarketThis page | Medium | 68% | +6pt | $90 | $93.7K | 23 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Pro Baseball Steals Leader
4.0 pts2mo
-4.0pt62%
8%
8%
+47 more outcomes
61 • Medium qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$110K
24h Vol$234.9
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the player who steals the most bases during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
- In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB.
- If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records fewer caught stealings during the 2026 MLB regular season.
- If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season.
- If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more total bases during the 2026 MLB regular season.
- If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$90Jul 223d of dataJul 27
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This market will resolve according to the player who steals the most bases during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
- In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB.
- If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records fewer caught stealings during the 2026 MLB regular season.
- If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season.
- If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more total bases during the 2026 MLB regular season.
- If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.