PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 26°C
Resolved: Aug 25, 2026, 4:41 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 25, 2026, 4:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
26°C 100%+73.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.8K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleAug 23, 26, 4:30 AMAug 25, 26, 12:00 PM
Probability Timeline
26°C100%
21°C or below3%
22°C1%
23°C0%
24°C0%
25°C14%
27°C0%
28°C0%
29°C0%
30°C0%
31°C or higher0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
- This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C).
