PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 21, 2026, 12:35 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
24°C or higher 44%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.9K
Low liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 20, 26, 12:29 PM UTCSep 22, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 20, 2026?
- Miami+13.0pt99%
- New York City+2.0pt99%
- Newark+5.0pt99%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $561.7K
- 24h Vol
- $522.3K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 20, 2026?
- 78° to 79°+76.0pt95.2%
- 80° to 81°-7.0pt1%
- 75° or below-26.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 20, 2026?
- 90° to 91°+60.0pt95.2%
- 86° to 87°-10.0pt1%
- 88° to 89°-35.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 20, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+65.0pt95.2%
- 90° to 91°-34.0pt1%
- 87° or below-17.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 20, 2026?
- 69° to 70°+56.0pt95.2%
- 68° or below-18.0pt1%
- 71° to 72°-35.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 20, 2026?
- 70° or below+21.0pt92.5%
- 71° to 72°-16.0pt3.8%
- 73° to 74°-2.0pt0.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 20, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 20, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 20, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 21?
- Where will it rain this weekend (Sep 19 - Sep 20)?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 20, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 20, 2026?
- Highest temperature in London on September 21?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 76 F on September 20, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 21?
- Highest temperature in Washington DC on Sep 20, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 22??
- Polymarket prices 24°C or higher at 44% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 22? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 22? is scheduled to resolve on September 22, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 22? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.