PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
58-59°F 43%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$219.9
Liquidity
$6.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
34.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 17, 26, 11:30 AM UTCSep 19, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 18?
PolymarketHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 18?
PolymarketHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 17, 2026?
GeminiLowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 17, 2026?
KalshiWill the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) be below 61 F on September 17, 2026?
ForecastExWill the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) be below 58 F on September 17, 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
- This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 17, 2026?
- Minneapolis99%
- Houston99%
- Miami+31.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $95.1K
- 24h Vol
- $90.6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 17, 2026?
- 75° to 76°42.1%
- 77° to 78°39.3%
- 79° to 80°11.2%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $66.4K
- 24h Vol
- $65.5K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 17, 2026?
- 88° to 89°33.9%
- 90° to 91°27.5%
- 86° to 87°19.3%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $39.7K
- 24h Vol
- $39.1K
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 17, 2026?
- 80° to 81°45.1%
- 82° to 83°31.4%
- 79° or below16.7%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $38.7K
- 24h Vol
- $36.9K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Seattle on Sep 17, 2026?
- 76° to 77°58%
- 74° to 75°24.1%
- 72° to 73°8.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $31.3K
- 24h Vol
- $31.2K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 18?
- 29°C+13.5pt51%
- 28°C-0.5pt37.5%
- 30°C-6.0pt6.7%
+8 more outcomes
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 17, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Ankara on September 18?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 18?
- Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 18?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 18?
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 18?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 17, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Singapore on September 18?
- Highest temperature in London on September 18?
- Highest temperature in Busan on September 18?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 19??
- Polymarket prices 58-59°F at 43% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 19? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 19? is scheduled to resolve on September 19, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 19? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.