PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Oct 5, 2026, 6:06 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
53°F or below 7%Leader of 11 outcomes
53°F or below 7%Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$841.9
Low liquiditySpread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Oct 4, 26, 10:29 AM UTCOct 6, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on October 5?
PolymarketHighest temperature in San Francisco on October 5?
PolymarketLowest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 4, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 4, 2026?
KalshiWill the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceed 88 F on October 4, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExWill the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceed 89 F on October 4, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Oct '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
- This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.