PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 20, 2026, 6:26 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
12°C or below 48%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.9K
Low liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 20, 26, 4:30 AM UTCSep 22, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 21?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Milan on September 21?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Milan on September 22?
PolymarketWhere will it rain on Sep 20, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 20, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 20, 2026?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 20, 2026?
- Miami+20.0pt99%
- Boston+4.0pt99%
- Newark+3.0pt99%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $259.7K
- 24h Vol
- $237.4K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 20, 2026?
- 76° to 77°+34.0pt72%
- 75° or below-19.0pt14%
- 78° to 79°-12.0pt11%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 20, 2026?
- 90° to 91°+27.0pt52.8%
- 88° to 89°+2.0pt42.6%
- 92° or above-2.0pt1.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 20, 2026?
- 69° to 70°+61.0pt95%
- 68° or below-18.0pt1%
- 71° to 72°-33.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 20, 2026?
- 70° or below+32.0pt92.5%
- 71° to 72°-21.0pt3.8%
- 73° to 74°-8.0pt0.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 20, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+33.0pt52.3%
- 87° or below+25.0pt37.6%
- 90° to 91°-27.0pt7.3%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 20, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 21?
- Where will it rain this weekend (Sep 19 - Sep 20)?
- Highest temperature in London on September 21?
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 21?
- Highest temperature in Washington DC on Sep 20, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 21?
- Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 21?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 20, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 20, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Milan on September 22??
- Polymarket prices 12°C or below at 48% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Milan on September 22? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Milan on September 22? is scheduled to resolve on September 22, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Milan on September 22? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.