PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
78-79°F 35%+3.5ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$486.4
Liquidity
$2.4K
Low liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 2, 26, 7:30 AMSep 4, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
- This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 3, 2026?
- 78° to 79°+74.0pt95.2%
- 76° to 77°-57.0pt1%
- 80° or above-3.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $845.7K
- 24h Vol
- $834.7K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 3, 2026?
- Minneapolis+35.0pt99%
- Philadelphia+16.0pt99%
- New York City+7.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 3, 2026?
- 83° to 84°+55.0pt93.4%
- 85° to 86°-14.0pt2.8%
- 82° or below-34.0pt0.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 3, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+68.0pt95.2%
- 90° to 91°-19.0pt1%
- 88° to 89°-8.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Dallas on Sep 3, 2026?
- 93° to 94°+78.0pt94.3%
- 97° to 98°-7.0pt1.9%
- 90° or below-32.0pt0.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 3, 2026?
- 93° to 94°+84.0pt95.2%
- 89° to 90°-23.0pt1%
- 91° to 92°-56.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 3, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 76 F on September 3, 2026?
- Lowest temperature in Denver on Sep 3, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 77 F on September 3, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 3, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 75 F on September 3, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 3, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 3, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Oklahoma City on Sep 3, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 3, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Houston on September 4??
- Polymarket prices 78-79°F at 35% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Houston on September 4? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Houston on September 4? is scheduled to resolve on September 4, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Houston on September 4? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
- Where else is Lowest temperature in Houston on September 4? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.