PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
78-79°F 28.7%+3.0ptLeader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
25 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$107
Liquidity
$2.5K
Low liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 16, 26, 7:30 AM UTCSep 18, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 19?
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PolymarketHighest temperature in Houston on September 17, 2026?
GeminiHighest temperature in Houston on September 18, 2026?
GeminiHighest temperature in Houston on Sep 17, 2026?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
- This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 17, 2026?
- Minneapolis+68.0pt99%
- Miami+22.0pt99%
- Houston+45.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $275.8K
- 24h Vol
- $261.2K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 17, 2026?
- 75° to 76°+24.0pt59.6%
- 77° to 78°-9.0pt29.4%
- 79° to 80°-2.0pt4.6%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 17, 2026?
- 86° to 87°+28.0pt41.2%
- 84° to 85°+26.0pt29.9%
- 83° or below+17.0pt19.6%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 17, 2026?
- 82° to 83°+67.0pt93.3%
- 84° to 85°-7.0pt2.9%
- 80° to 81°-40.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 17, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+48.0pt55.8%
- 78° to 79°+18.0pt38.5%
- 82° or above+2.0pt2.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 17, 2026?
- 97° to 98°+25.0pt58.5%
- 95° to 96°+25.0pt29.3%
- 99° to 100°-38.0pt7.5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 17, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 17, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 18?
- Highest temperature in Busan on September 18?
- Highest temperature in London on September 18?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 17, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 18?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 18?
- Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 18?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Houston on September 18??
- Polymarket prices 78-79°F at 29% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Houston on September 18? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Houston on September 18? is scheduled to resolve on September 18, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Houston on September 18? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
- Where else is Lowest temperature in Houston on September 18? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.