PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability25°C 48%+36.0%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$38.3K
Liquidity
$44.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.2% / 0.9%
Spread
350.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jul 6, 26, 4:30 AMJul 8, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
25°C48%
Volume trend
$38.3kJul 62d of dataJul 7
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg.
- C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
- This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.