PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
50-51°F 18.2%Leader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$6.9K
Medium liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 19, 26, 7:30 AM UTCSep 21, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Denver on September 20?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Denver on September 20?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Denver on September 19, 2026?
GeminiLowest temperature in Denver on Sep 19, 2026?
KalshiWill the lowest temperature in Denver (DEN)(KBKF) be below 59 F on September 19, 2026?
ForecastExWill the lowest temperature in Denver (DEN)(KBKF) be below 55 F on September 19, 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
- This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 19, 2026?
- Minneapolis+31.0pt99%
- Chicago+6.0pt99%
- Milwaukee+4.0pt99%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $207.5K
- 24h Vol
- $192.8K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 19, 2026?
- 77° or below+18.0pt46.2%
- 78° to 79°+1.0pt45.3%
- 80° to 81°-14.0pt3.8%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 19, 2026?
- 90° to 91°+67.0pt82%
- 88° to 89°-40.0pt9.9%
- 92° or above+4.0pt5.4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 19, 2026?
- 69° to 70°+40.0pt76.2%
- 71° to 72°-14.0pt19.1%
- 73° to 74°-6.0pt1.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Wellington on September 20?
- 15°C+40.0pt98%
- 16°C-9.4pt2%
- 9°C or below0%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHILowest temperature in New York City on Sep 19, 2026?
- 61° to 62°-1.0pt44%
- 56° or below+12.0pt23%
- 63° to 64°+2.0pt10%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Highest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 19, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 19, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 20?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 19, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 20, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 20?
- Where will it rain on Sep 20, 2026?
- Rain in New York City on Sep 19, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Madrid on September 20?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 20?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Denver on September 21??
- Polymarket prices 50-51°F at 18% as of September 19, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Denver on September 21? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Denver on September 21? is scheduled to resolve on September 21, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Denver on September 21? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.