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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 14, 2026, 2:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probabilityGame 1 Winner 100%+64.5ptLeader of 42 outcomes
Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2M
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+50.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 4, 26, 5:57 AMAug 14, 26, 3:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Game 1 Winner35%
Game 2 Winner34%
Match Winner28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor13%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors90%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon77%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?47%
First Blood in Game 1?47%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?38%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon40%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Any Player Quadra Kill59%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games43%
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)42%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor14%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?51%
50%
50%
50%
50%
50%
50%
Rules
This market refers to the LoL match between Team WE and Top Esports in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 14 at 5:00AM ET.
- This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against Top Esports.
- This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Team WE.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
- If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.