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Awaiting verified resolution
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 22, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Game 2 Winner 100%Leader of 43 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$604.6K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleAug 21, 26, 2:50 PMAug 22, 26, 3:15 PM
Probability Timeline
Game 2 Winner44%
Game 4 Winner41%
Match Winner40%
O/U 3.5 Games72%
O/U 4.5 Games36%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon59%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor90%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors90%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
First Blood in Game 4?90%
Game 1 Winner44%
Game 3 Winner44%
Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)41%
Game Handicap: GAM (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5)20%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor32%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon67%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors32%
Any Player Quadra Kill33%
Any Player Penta Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon59%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors32%
Any Player Quadra Kill33%
Any Player Penta Kill28%
Odd/Even Total Kills49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 3?52%
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Rules
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between MVK Esports and GAM Esports in the LCP Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.
- This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win the match against GAM Esports.
- This market will resolve to "GAM Esports" if GAM Esports win the match against MVK Esports.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 22, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET).
- If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played.
