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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 5, 2026, 2:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probabilityGame 1 Winner 100%+61.5ptLeader of 37 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3.9M
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJul 31, 26, 10:14 PMAug 5, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Game 2 Winner38%
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)40%
Game 1 Winner38%
Any Player Quadra Kill37%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?37%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?55%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Match Winner55%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Rules
This market refers to the LoL match between HANJIN BRION and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 5 at 4:00AM ET.
- This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win the match against Nongshim Red Force.
- This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win the match against HANJIN BRION.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
- If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.