Current implied probability
Castro 100%+49.5ptLeader of 16 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3.2K
Liquidity
$877.4
Low liquiditySpread
49.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 19, 26, 8:00 PM UTCSep 27, 26, 11:30 AM UTC
Trends
100%
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100%
100%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Duarte Lima Sanches and Goncalo Da Rosa Castro in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 7:30AM ET.
- This market will resolve to 'Duarte Lima Sanches' if Duarte Lima Sanches advances against Goncalo Da Rosa Castro.
- This market will resolve to 'Goncalo Da Rosa Castro' if Goncalo Da Rosa Castro advances against Duarte Lima Sanches.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Open markets
Sports
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R11.7%
- Buffalo-1.0pt9.9%
- San Francisco+1.0pt8.1%
+29 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $126.2M
- 24h Vol
- $7.4M
KALSHIIndianapolis vs Kansas City: Spread
- Kansas City wins by over 1.5 points-2.0pt68%
- Kansas City wins by over 2.5 points+1.0pt67%
- Kansas City wins by over 3.5 points-1.0pt57%
+24 more outcomes
KALSHIIND Colts vs KC Chiefs
- Kansas City71.3%
- Indianapolis28.7%
- Total Vol
- $5.1M
- 24h Vol
- $4.8M
POLYMARKETColts vs. Chiefs
- Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 27.5 — Over94%
- Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 29.5 — Over-1.0pt91%
- Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 31.5 — Over-0.5pt89%
+57 more outcomes
KALSHIIndianapolis vs Kansas City: Touchdowns
- Kenneth Walker: 1+-1.0pt61%
- Jonathan Taylor: 1+-2.0pt54%
- Rashee Rice: 1+38%
+48 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
KALSHIBlanch vs Mmoh
- Darwin Blanch83%
- Michael Mmoh17%
- Total Vol
- $2.5M
- 24h Vol
- $2.5M
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- Miami vs San Diego FC
- Detroit vs Chicago WS
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- Nflgame 26 SEP 20 Lvlac
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- College Football National Championship Winner
- Milwaukee vs Baltimore
- September 20 Indianapolis vs Kansas City
- Aguilar Cardozo vs Dickerson
- Pro Football: 2027 Champion
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for M25 Setubal: Duarte Lima Sanches vs Goncalo Da Rosa Castro?
- Polymarket prices Castro at 100% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does M25 Setubal: Duarte Lima Sanches vs Goncalo Da Rosa Castro resolve?
- M25 Setubal: Duarte Lima Sanches vs Goncalo Da Rosa Castro is scheduled to resolve on September 27, 2026.
- How is M25 Setubal: Duarte Lima Sanches vs Goncalo Da Rosa Castro settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market refers to the tennis match between Duarte Lima Sanches and Goncalo Da Rosa Castro in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 7:30AM ET.