Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 27, 2026, 6:10 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Michael Caspanello 50%Leader of 16 outcomes
Michael Caspanello 50%Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownComments
0
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Sep 26, 26, 1:59 PM UTCOct 4, 26, 5:30 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between the named outcome and Aidan Chan in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 1:30AM ET.
- This market will resolve to 'the named outcome' if the named outcome advances against Aidan Chan.
- This market will resolve to 'Aidan Chan' if Aidan Chan advances against the named outcome.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
