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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 23, 2026, 8:31 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Nick Beamish 100%+50.0ptLeader of 16 outcomes
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6.3K
Liquidity
$100.9K
High liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 22, 26, 7:59 AM UTCSep 30, 26, 5:00 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
Nick Beamish100%
Completed Match50%
Set 1 Winner: Nick Beamish vs Kazuki Nakajima — Nick Beamish50%
Set 2 Winner: Nick Beamish vs Kazuki Nakajima — Nick Beamish100%
Beamish vs. Nakajima: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over100%
Beamish vs. Nakajima: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 — Over91%
Beamish vs. Nakajima: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 — Over50%
Beamish vs. Nakajima: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 — Over50%
Beamish vs. Nakajima: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 — Over100%
Beamish vs. Nakajima: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 — Over100%
Beamish vs. Nakajima: Match O/U 21.5 — Over100%
Beamish vs. Nakajima: Match O/U 22.5 — Over100%
Beamish vs. Nakajima: Match O/U 23.5 — Over100%
Set Handicap: Nick Beamish (-1.5) vs Kazuki Nakajima (+1.5) — Nick Beamish100%
Nick Beamish vs. Kazuki Nakajima: Total Sets O/U 2.5 — Over 2.50%
Set Handicap: Kazuki Nakajima (-1.5) vs Nick Beamish (+1.5) — Kazuki Nakajima50%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
0%
Won
Before close: 100% ·
Won
Won
Before close: 91% ·
Won
Before close: 100% ·
Won
Before close: 91% ·
Won
Before close: 91% ·
Won
Before close: 91% ·
Won
Before close: 91% ·
Won
Before close: 100% ·
Lost
Before close: 10% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between the named outcome and Kazuki Nakajima in the M25 Yinchuan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 1:00AM ET.
- This market will resolve to 'the named outcome' if the named outcome advances against Kazuki Nakajima.
- This market will resolve to 'Kazuki Nakajima' if Kazuki Nakajima advances against the named outcome.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
