Current implied probability
$1000+ 99%+0.8ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.8K
Liquidity
$23K
Medium liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
+15.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jun 24, 26, 12:53 AM UTCMar 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Kalshiwill apple release iPhone 18 Pro before September 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the iPhone 18 Pro start above $1,300 ?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
LimitlessWhat will happen in the rest of September? (20 mana bonus in description)
Manifold MarketsGuyana Amazon Warriors vs St. Lucia Kings
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro launches at the listed price or more.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro as listed on the official Apple Store website or Apple’s retail pricing in the United States on the first official day of its release.
- If the price differs between configurations (e.g., base storage vs. higher storage), this market will resolve according to the lower price of the version that includes the full standard iPhone 18 Pro model with no additional features, accessories, or services (e.g., base storage capacity only).
- If the iPhone 18 Pro is not released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Apple Store (online or retail pricing), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Open markets
SportsPOLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
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- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.5+70.5pt100%
+25 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
- $6.9M
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 more outcomes
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KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
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KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 more outcomes
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KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $2M
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.9M
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How much will the iPhone 18 Pro cost??
- Polymarket prices $1000+ at 99% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does How much will the iPhone 18 Pro cost? resolve?
- How much will the iPhone 18 Pro cost? is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2027.
- How is How much will the iPhone 18 Pro cost? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro launches at the listed price or more.