PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 475k+ (100%)
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability475k+ 100%+43.6ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$85K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.1% / 100.0%
Spread
0.9 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+50.0 pts
Market data
Updated 24 days ago
StaleApr 3, 26, 11:46 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
375k–400k9%
475k+100%
450k–475k10%
425k–450k0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· 475k+
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 100% | — | $85K | $0 | 24 days ago | |
 Limitless97% match · verified | Low | 50% | — | $0 | $0 | 25 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Limitless
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?
Closed
50%
50%
50%
+4 more outcomes
7 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$108.6
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.
- If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$85.0kJul 22d of dataJul 3
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This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.
- If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.