PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 26°C
Resolved: Oct 11, 2026, 4:50 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
26°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
41%
SurpriseProbability Timeline
26°C100%
27°C0%
28°C0%
24°C7%
25°C12%
23°C0%
21°C0%
26°CWon
20°C or belowLost
21°CLost
22°CLost
23°CLost
24°CLost
25°CLost
27°CLost
28°CLost
29°CLost
30°C or higherLost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Oct '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.